I've done some basic Googling but I'm not sure what the equation for this is. I have X events, each with an independent probability between 0 and 1. Given X events, how many are likely to ...
The purpose of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (IMS) is to foster the development and dissemination of the theory and applications of statistics and probability. The Institute was formed at a ...
On Feb. 18, 2025, NASA updated the probability of asteroid "2024 YR4" impacting Earth on Dec. 22, 2032, from 2.6% to 3.1%. The European Space Agency (ESA) also updated its estimate of the probability ...